Baseball Classics Statistical Accuracy

“Just finished replaying 1964 Yankees. I ended up 98-64. Their actual record was 99-63. Stats were pretty close also.”  — Mike Hamilton, Baseball Classics customer


Based on time-tested algorithms

Players actually perform as they did that MLB season

When Baseball Classics® was in the design stage back in 1985, there were 3 board game must-haves.

1. Easier, faster, and authentic MLB gameplay

2. Offer any MLB team from 1901 to present

3. Pinpoint statistical accuracy

This was a tall order. Of the hundreds of baseball board games ever created, none featured all 3 must-haves. We understand MLB fans expectations and needs. Fans want true realism, the opportunity to play their favorite MLB teams, and to enjoy games that are super simple and quick.

In 1985, Dean Patino, the Founder of Baseball Classics went to work in his Southern California apartment. He created a game centered around these non-negotiable principles which the baseball board game market didn’t offer. A task tall like the towering Reggie Jackson’s 1971 All-Star Game light tower roof-shot at Tiger Stadium.

Proof: 2022 New York Yankees Aaron Judge’s AL Record 62 Home Runs

As you and every MLB fan knows, in the 2022 MLB season New York Yankees, Aaron Judge broke the AL home run record with 62!

We thought you might want to not only see what his Baseball Classics 2022 card looks like, but see if he could repeat that amazing feat.

So we put together an Excel spreadsheet and loaded up the HOME RUN rolls on his Baseball Classics 2022 New York Yankees card (7, 10, and 18) plus the MLB average HOME RUN allowed by AL and NL pitcher’s card (roll of 9 is the 2022 Season MLB average as well as for either the AL or NL).

Aaron Judge had 696 plate appearances in 2022.

Thus, we created a large test simulation that contained 100 each of 696 plate appearances. 696 X 100 = 69,600 plate appearances. Then we created that test 16 times which is 69,600 X 16 = 1,113,600 plate appearances.

However, we didn’t stop there.

We then ran another, much bigger test simulation that contained those 1,113,600 plate appearances X 10 = 11,136,000 plate appearances.

How did Baseball Classics 2022 New York Yankees Aaron Judge next generation player card do?

With those 11+ million plate appearances he averaged 61.4 HOME RUNs per 696 plate appearances. Only off by .1 to reach 62 HOME RUNS!

Here’s one of the 11+M tests we ran, but if you choose, you can run it too.  You can download it here.

With our latest next generation gaming engine development, Baseball Classics can factor all the way to the probability of one millionth player results.  No extra dice, add-on cards, or charts to look up!

We’ve incorporated new algorithms to factor up to that high of a statistical probability for Real-Time Pitching and player result outcomes such as Singles, Double Plays, etc.

No other baseball board game comes close to matching the precision of Baseball Classics statistical accuracy probability for outcomes throughout like we do!  Strat-O-Matic, APBA, and all the others are no match.  We back up our statistical accuracy by demonstrating how our player ratings work and amazingly accurate World Series simulation projections.

When we say “pinpoint statistical accuracy”, we mean it!

No other sports fans love player and teams stats more than Major League Baseball fans. It was imperative to ‘hit it out of the park’ when designing a baseball board game where MLB players perform as they did that actual season.

We just don’t say it, we prove it.  Baseball Classics is the only baseball board game to accurately project the 2022 2020, 2019, and 2018 World Series winners to the very number of games won and within a mere 3 total runs scored between both series!  Neither Strat-O-Matic or APBA have done that or any others.

To do that, we began by selecting all the statistical categories needed for hitters and pitchers to mirror MLB players. We analyzed batting, pitching, bunting, stealing, base running, and — last but not least — fielding.

All these important statistical areas were taken into consideration during the game’s design. Our custom algorithms generate all our Baseball Classics player ratings. Each player result is based on hundreds of time-tested, mathematical equations to ensure incredibly high accuracy that compared to their actual season performance.

How we achieve highly accurate player outcomes

Baseball Classics’ play system uses at iconic batter/pitcher dice and 4 six-sided dice. There’s plenty of play possibilities. Between a batter and pitcher, that’s exactly 2592 outcome possibilities (6 X 6 X 6 X 6 X 2)!

For example, let’s say a player hit 1 Home Run in 432 plate appearances. That’s .00231481%.  It’s minuscule, but Baseball Classics easily covers this with our 1-column player RESULT, single dice roll design covering up to .0003858 (1 / 2592). Baseball Classics accurately delivers player performance within one-millionth of any player’s actual outcome!

Next Generation Real-Time MLB Board Games

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Play any MLB Teams 1901-Present

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Baseball Classics
P.O. Box 632204
Highlands Ranch, CO 80163

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